No, David S. Pumpkins — we don’t have any questions. Since hosting the best-reviewed Saturday Night Live episode of the show’s 52nd season over the weekend, Inde Navarratte has strengthened her Best Actress odds across all three major film awards ceremonies among Gold Derby’s expert prognosticators.
Granted, the breakout Obsession star has been a Top 5 staple at the 2027 Golden Globes, SAG Actor Awards, and Oscars for months now, but some actors can falter in the bright glare of Studio 8H’s spotlight (looking at you, Adrien Brody) making it a potentially dicey platform for any performer — particularly one hoping to stay in the awards conversation for the long haul to Oscar night.
Fortunately, the general post-show sentiment around Navarrette’s emcee gig is that she handled her time on the SNL stage with aplomb, and demonstrated that she’s adept at playing a variety of characters beyond the multiple versions of Nikki she portrays in Curry Barker’s horror hit.
The future X-Men star accordingly saw her Oscar odds tick upward by one percent among experts, holding onto the No. 4 spot between surging international contenders Sandra Hüller, now at No. 3 for her star turn in Rose, and All of a Sudden‘s Virginie Efira, whose odds have risen seven percent to claim the No. 5 spot recently vacated by Fjord‘s Renate Reinsve. Navarrette is also a rock-solid No. 3 in our combined odds after a month packed with FYC events and media appearances on behalf of Obsession‘s monster of an awards campaign.
Best Supporting Actress
1.
Samantha Morton
The Odyssey
2.
Anne Hathaway
The Odyssey
3.
4.
Penelope Cruz
La Bola Negra
5.
Tao Okamoto
All of a Sudden
6.
Amanda Seyfried
You Can See Everything
7.
Kate O’Flynn
Tender Loving Care
8.
Mariana Di Girolamo
Wild Horse Nine
9.
Sandra Hüller
Project Hail Mary
10.
Before she gets to Hollywood’s biggest night, though, Navarrette first has to be invited to Hollywood’s biggest party. And her SNL episode firmed up her Golden Globes standing after Focus Features made the controversial choice to submit Obsession in the Comedy categories.
Our experts awarded Navarrette another one-percent bounce to also land at No. 4 among Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress contenders behind The Debut‘s Julianne Moore and the two Olivias — Wilde and Colman for The Invite and Wicker, respectively. Once again, she’s sitting comfortably at No. 3 in our combined odds.
Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress
1.
2.
3.
4.
Inde Navarrette
Obsession
5.
6.
Meryl Streep
The Devil Wears Prada 2
7.
Marion Bailey
Tender Loving Care
8.
Keke Palmer
I Love Boosters
9.
Hannah Einbinder
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
10.
Rinko Kikuchi
Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty!
Navarrette completes the hat trick with a No. 3 standing on both our combined and expert-only leaderboards for a Best Film Actress nomination at the SAG Actor Awards. She’s up two percent with the latter group, right behind Moore and Wilde and ahead of Disclosure Day‘s Emily Blunt and Being Heumann‘s Ruth Madeley.
Now that we’re out of spooky season, the next challenge will be finding organic ways to keep Navarrette — and Obsession — front and center as non-horror November contenders flood the awards circuit. It’s a tricky path that Warner Bros. was able to walk last year with Sinners and Weapons, landing nominations for Michael B. Jordan and Amy Madigan at all three ceremonies culminating in their respective Best Actor and Best Supporting Actress wins on Oscar night.
Film Actress
1.
2.
3.
Inde Navarrette
Obsession
4.
Emily Blunt
Disclosure Day
5.
Ruth Madeley
Being Heumann
6.
7.
Mikey Madison
The Social Reckoning
8.
Cynthia Erivo
Prima Facie
9.
10.
If Focus can thread a similar needle, no One Wish Willows will be necessary to ensure that Navarrette’s self-professed Oscar dreams become a reality.
Note: Golden Globes producer Dick Clark Productions is owned by Penske Media Eldridge, a joint venture between Eldridge and Penske Media Corporation, which owns Gold Derby.
